Tuesday, February 10, 2009

Consider this:

1) I propose that there is a 1% chance of a giant fire burning down your house, killing some family members and forcing the rest to live on the streets. Do you a) spend a small portion of your income, perhaps 1%, protecting against this possibility, or b) do nothing and hope there's no fire.

2) I propose that there is a 99% chance that there will be a small fire in your house, causing some damages, possibly killing one family member and certainly forcing your uncle onto the streets for an extended period of time. Do you a) spend a small portion of your income trying to minimize damage, or b) do nothing and hope there's no fire?


The next question is: is global warming a type 1 scenario or a type 2 scenario.

(hint, a pair of pears would just be too much in about two seconds).

No comments: